集体下调!乐清人赶上这趟了吗?
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;" >6月7日下午4点多</span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">杭州的张先生急匆匆赶到</span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">一家国有银行</span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">咨询大额存单利率</span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;"><strong style="outline: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">“目前还是3.1%,但是没有额度了,</span></strong></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;"><strong style="outline: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">这可能是最后一期3.1%利率了,</span></strong></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;"><strong style="outline: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">6月8日起,利率就要调整了。”</span></strong></span>
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<span style="font-size: 16px;"><strong style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: var(--weui-BRAND);"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">当客户经理告诉张先生这个消息时</span></strong><br style="outline: 0px;"/></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;"><strong style="outline: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">张先生忍不住拍大腿</span></strong></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;"><strong style="outline: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">“我100万还没上车呢!”</span></strong></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">6月7日傍晚</span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">潮新闻记者从浙江省内多家国有银行获悉</span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">行里已收到相关通知</span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">6月8日起</span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">正式下调人民币存款利率</span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">其中</span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;"><strong style="outline: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">活期存款利率下调5个基点、</span></strong></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;"><strong style="outline: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">两年期定期存款利率和利率</span></strong></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;"><strong style="outline: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">上限下调10个基点</span></strong></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;"><strong style="outline: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">三年、五年期定期存款利率和利率</span></strong></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;"><strong style="outline: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">上限下调15个基点</span></strong></span>
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<span style="font-size: 16px;outline: 0px;color: #888888;letter-spacing: 0.034em;">图为某国有行昨天新调整的存款利率表<br style="outline: 0px;"/></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;"><strong data-brushtype="text" style="outline: 0px;">100万元存三年相差6000元</strong></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;"><strong data-brushtype="text" style="outline: 0px;">储户感叹痛失3字头利率</strong></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">早两天,张先生就预感到利率要调整。“近段时间,新闻说全国好几个地方都在下调利率嘛,所以我想赶紧抓住最后机会,谁知道还是晚了一步。”张先生告诉潮新闻记者,<strong style="outline: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">他有一笔70万元的理财是7日才到账,归总好资金想凑齐100万元去存三年期大额存单。“没想到,真的就是晚了一小步。”</span></strong></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">银行客户经理告诉张先生,7日下午他们行里发了1.2亿元的大额存单额度,但是很紧俏,都是提前和客户经理预约好的。张先生赶到银行时是4点多,额度已经被抢完了。“这恐怕是最后一次三年期3.1%利率的大额存单了,真是遗憾啊!”张先生说。</span>
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<span style="font-size: 16px;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-indent: 2em;">6月8日早上,记者致电多家国有行,</span><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-indent: 2em;outline: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">均表示大额存单利率已经下调,</span></strong><span style="letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-indent: 2em;">某国有行客户经理告诉记者,这次大额存单下降了20个基点,</span><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-indent: 2em;outline: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">7日三年期大额存单是3.1%,6月8日已改为2.9%,</span></strong><span style="letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-indent: 2em;">“很多客户都说每次下调利率总是猝不及防,确实是这样,行里7日下午说要下调,我们连夜更换利率,现在柜台已经在执行2.9%的利率了。”</span><br/></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">另一家国有银行理财经理告诉记者,该行大额存单昨天起调整,<strong style="outline: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: #007aaa;">三年期大额存单,7日是3.2%,昨天起3.0%,100万元存3年,收益相差6000元。</span></strong></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;"><strong data-brushtype="text" style="outline: 0px;">昨日开始正式下调</strong></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;"><strong data-brushtype="text" style="outline: 0px;">新一轮人民币存款降息来了</strong></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">除了大额存单引发大家关注外,多家国有银行的活期存款也是昨天开始下调。</span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">据央视新闻客户端消息,工商银行、农业银行、建设银行、中国银行、交通银行和邮储银行昨天分别发布公告,从6月8日起下调存款挂牌利率。其中,活期存款利率从此前的0.25%下调至0.2%。2年期定期存款利率下调至2.05%,3年期定存利率下调至2.45%,5年定期存款利率下调至2.5%。下调幅度分别为5到15个基点不等。三个月、六个月、一年定期存款利率不变。</span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;">由于对存款利率上限做出了**,部分银行可做利率上浮的产品也有影响。某国有大行定期存款产品,五年期利率从3.05%降至2.9%,三年期从3%调至2.85%。</span>
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<strong style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0px; caret-color: red; outline-style: initial;">其他银行可能跟进降息</strong><br/>
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<span style="font-size: 16px;">去年9月以来,国有大行陆续下调人民币存款利率,股份行也持续跟进,今年以来,多家城商行、农商行、村镇银行等中小银行加入调息阵营,纷纷下调存款挂牌利率。此外,通知存款、协定存款利率加点上限也受到**,部分银行下调达55个基点。</span>
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<span style="font-size: 16px;">中金公司研报指出,考虑到4月《合格审慎评估实施办法(2023年修订版)》增加了对存款利率合意调整幅度的考核,预计后续中小银行有望跟进同步下调。假设活期/两年期/三年期/五年期定期存款利率分别下调5bp/10bp/15bp/15bp,估算能节约银行负债成本约1200亿元,正向贡献银行净息差/营收/净利润3bp/1%/3%(年化),其中活期存款占比较高的上市银行更为利好。</span>
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<span style="font-size: 16px;">上述研报认为,此次降息后,未来1-2年存款平均利率仍有约20bp的进一步降息空间(不包括此次降息),主要逻辑基于2020年以来银行**利率已下行超过2017年的低点,而存款利率2020年基本持平,仍高于2017年水平约40bp;其中约15bp为存款定期化的影响,25bp为存款利率上行导致;2020年以来存款利率“刚性”、**利率下行导致银行净息差下降46bp。因此,如果假设存款利率跟随**利率调降,存款利率有望下调25bp回到2017年水平。其中,定期存款和企业活期存款下调空间较大(包括规范协定存款、通知存款、结构性存款、互联网存款等“创新存款产品”)。在此假设下,不考虑存款活期化影响,估算能节约银行负债成本约7000亿元,正向贡献上市银行净息差/营收/净利润17bp/8%/16%。</span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 14px;color: #888888;">来源</span><span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 14px;color: #888888;">:台州晚报综合自潮新闻·钱江晚报、央视新闻客户端、澎湃新闻</span>
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